Check the exterior wall for any waterproofing breech,water will run down interior of wall and seep under wall
If the water is only accumulating only when it is raining, then the answer would be yes, it is most likely leaking in from outside. You can purchase patching cement in a tube that can be applied with a caulking gun at most hardware retailers. I would patch the hole to the outside and see if the problem of a wet bathroom floor is fixed. Hope this helped and best wishes.
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